The uninformed and the wisdom of the crowds
Understanding and predicting the referendum means finding ways to divine the intentions of those who see themselves as uniformed, and those who fall within a ‘spiral of silence’
The latest Red C poll indicates continuing strong support for marriage equality, with two-thirds of voters (67 per cent) saying they will vote Yes. This is, however, a drop from a year ago, when over three-quarters of voters were in favour.
More ominous for the Yes campaign, perhaps, is the fact that No voters have increased by 4 percentage points to 27 per cent, indicating that “don’t knows” appear to be deciding to vote ...
