Energy

Analysis: Record US oil production and weak demand set to keep prices lower in 2024

Despite threats by the Opec cartel to cut production in a bid to keep oil prices higher, record supplies from the US is keeping Brent oil prices on a downward curve

US shale oil production has beat market forecasts over the last year

Supply is back in the driver’s seat for global oil markets.

At issue is rising crude production from non-Opec+ nations including the US, which could outstrip global demand that’s still growing but at a slower pace. The oil cartel’s response has been to pledge deeper cuts in production, but traders are sceptical they’ll be sufficiently implemented to fully eliminate a surplus.

The combination has already pushed crude oil to its first annual decline since 2020, ...