Thursday October 22, 2020

Comment: How will Covid reshape the future of geopolitics?

Here are five plausible scenarios for how international politics could look in a post-pandemic world in 2030

6th October, 2020
Estimating the long-term effect of the current pandemic on the geopolitical map is not an exact prediction of the future, but an exercise in weighing probabilities and adjusting current policies

There is no single future until it happens, and any effort to envision geopolitics in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic must include a range of possible futures. I suggest five plausible futures in 2030, but obviously others can be imagined.

1. The end of the globalised liberal order

The world order established by the United States after World War II created a framework of institutions that led to a remarkable liberalisation of international trade...

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