Marriage referendum could be lost

The issue of adoptions by gay couples points to a weak foundation for overall support

Richard Colwell

The hard facts are that, once the various opinions of voters are analysed, less than half of the electorate is currently “certain” to support the referendum, without any reservations.

All too often, pollsters have been attacked in referendum campaigns for suggesting some way before the vote that the electorate are generally in support of the change to the Constitution, while in the event the results have been far closer, with the measure sometimes ...