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Constantin Gurdgiev

constantingurdgiev

From Goldilocks to Humpty Dumpty: The markets in 2018

The much-feared spectre of broad secular stagnation - a view that long-term changes in both demand and supply factors are leading to a structural long-term slowdown in global economic growth - remains a serious concern for investors
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • December 19, 2018

The end of the calm before the storm

Witness the discontent in emerging markets, signs of turbulence spreading to advanced economies and worries over Italy’s eurozone performance
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • September 2, 2018

Why investors needs to look east, away from the USA

Trump’s trade tariffs have put the US in a state of accelerating conflict with the rest of the world
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • July 1, 2018

ECB's shift of gears presents another set of risks

Ending the bank's QE programme risks fuelling public discontent within member states, driving up voters’ support for political extremes
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • June 15, 2018

Italy’s problem is Europe’s problem

The Italian political crisis eased last week, but the threat to the eurozone from Italy’s debt mountain is very real
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • June 3, 2018

Trouble is brewing in the euro paradise

The rise of nationalism and populism across Europe poses a threat to the area’s economic market
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • May 20, 2018

Beware of the myth of Europe’s renaissance

The current eurozone boom is not sustainable, and putting all our faith in Brussels is not a good idea
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • May 13, 2018

No fiscal panic yet, but figures highlight tax uncertainty and spending weaknesses

The weak revenue performance relative to Budget 2018 projections has now spread to all four key tax heads, including income tax, VAT, corporation tax and excise duties
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • May 3, 2018

Risks to global growth cloud Ireland’s future

While official domestic forecasts are upgrading expectations for the Irish economy, it’s sobering to look at key factors underlying last year’s extraordinary uptick in GDP
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • April 22, 2018

The Fed is boldly going where it was going before

With calm and poise, the Fed’s new chairman Jerome Powell delivered no surprises, no dramas, a little dose of bitter medicine, and a lot of hopes
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • March 22, 2018

Constantin Gurdgiev on Trump and trade

The looming Trump-induced storm is a daunting prospect for our open economy, but if we are clever we can actually benefit in the long term
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • March 18, 2018

Ten rules for trading in a volatile market

It’s a rollercoaster ride on the markets these days, but it is possible for investors to survive, and even thrive. Just follow these practical guidelines – and enjoy the rush
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • February 18, 2018

Volatility and uncertainty are back with a bang

Turmoil on the world markets began last week when, by the end of Monday, $4 trillion-worth of equities values had been wiped out around the globe
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • February 11, 2018

The markets are a mess

The steady rise of uncertainty indices and unease among institutional investors about the markets’ future direction are both warranted
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • February 4, 2018

Dancing towards the end of QE

Constantin Gurdgiev on a 'super week' of meetings at the world's central banks, as the ECB continues to provide comfort to the Irish government and banks
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • December 15, 2017

Supplies of monetary methadone will continue

The ECB's decision on QE illustrates the dilemma facing central banks across the world
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • October 27, 2017

Currency moves complicate ECB's decision

The fact that an interest rate rise is unlikely until 2018 is the key consideration for Ireland, writes Constantin Gurdgiev
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • September 7, 2017

'Not much powder left for honeymoon Budget 2018'

The tax shortfall deepened in July, while the cost of cancelling IBRC bonds is mounting, writes Constantin Gurdgiev
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • August 3, 2017

Nama missed opportunity for profits – and we’re paying the price

When it comes to the management of Nama, politics should have yielded to economics
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • April 9, 2017

Constantin Gurdgiev: Oil’s bucking bull

My best guess is that prices will stay north of $50 a barrel this year - but in this climate, nothing is certain
  • Constantin Gurdgiev
  • March 19, 2017

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