Budget 2024

John Walsh: Fine Gael misreads mood of electorate, while Sinn Féin waits in the wings

With its focus on tax cuts, Fine Gael looks like it is about to make the same mistake for the third consecutive election

Mary Lou McDonald, Sinn Féin leader and Michelle O’Neill, deputy leader: acting like a government in waiting

The Remain side in the 2016 Brexit referendum and Hillary Clinton’s doomed US presidential bid the same year had a lot of similarities. They both stuck to their core messaging, believing that it would ultimately sway enough voters – but they failed to pick up on the mood of the electorate, which had developed different priorities.

The Remain and Clinton campaigns were one-offs, and it is unlikely they would make the same mistakes again. There ...