Referendum looks likely to be passed

Momentum is with the No side, but the Yes campaign looks too far ahead to be caught

Our final poll before the same-sex marriage referendum suggests that the vote will be passed, albeit by a smaller margin than we had seen earlier in the campaign. The expected shift towards the No camp, so often seen in referendum campaigns, is apparent, but not at a strong enough rate to suggest the vote will be lost.

The reason for the regular shift toward No in any referendum is that the onus is ...