Human behaviour holds key to plotting the path of Covid-19
Statisticians can project case numbers if we move to level 2, 3 or more of 5, but less knowable is how people will change the way they act over the Christmas period
Trying to predict Covid-19 is a losing game. The way the coronavirus spreads is volatile, and a single event can hugely change the course of case numbers. So much of its path is also down to one of the most elusive and mystifying variables of all – human behaviour.
This is the view of Paul Dempsey, a mathematician with Dazult, an analysis firm. Dempsey has applied his study of statistical models to Irish Covid-19 case...
Subscribe from just €1 for the first month!
What's Included
With any subscription you will have access to
-
Unlimited multi-device access to our iPad, iPhone and Android Apps
-
Unlimited access to our eReader library
-
Exclusive daily insight and opinion seven days a week
-
Create alerts to never miss a subject that matters to you
-
Get access to exclusive offers for subscribers on gifts and experiences
-
Get content from Business Post, Business Post Magazines, Connected, Tatler and Food & Wine
Related Stories
The Big Interview: Shane Scully, Eagle Street Partners
Shane Scully decided to start his own property development company with his former Glenveagh colleague Justin Bickle during lockdown. In less than a year, Eagle Street has committed €150 million in invested capital to office, hospitality and residential development projects in Britain and Ireland
The last stand: how Ireland finally conceded its long-cherished 12.5 per cent tax rate
After years of resisting the global tax changes, Paschal Donohoe says the decision is in the country’s best interests and provides ‘certainty and stability’
The Big Interview: Tom Finn
The chief executive of Silver Stream Healthcare is full of praise for the Irish healthcare system, but believes the government made an error in separating community healthcare from acute hospital services
Profile: Johnny Mercer, Conservative party member of parliament for Plymouth Moor View
Gung-ho Iraq and Afghanistan veteran turned Tory politician Johnny Mercer has made a platform for himself defending the actions of former British army soldiers. Last week, he was in Belfast to support 80-year-old Dennis Hutchings on trial in connection with the fatal shooting in 1974 of John Pat Cunningham, a man with learning difficulties
