War on Gaza may prove to be futile

Israel’s massive bombardment of the Gaza Strip may not succeed in weakening Hamas’s grip on the region

3rd January, 2009

It is a truism of international war and diplomacy that all actions have consequences and that all consequences are unpredictable.

And yet, in terms of the medium and long-term implications of the current Gaza crisis, the course of future events seems depressingly predictable.

Hamas’s grip on power is weaker than at any time since it won the January 2006 Palestinian legislative elections or wrested control of Gaza from Mahmoud Abbas’s Fatah-led Palestinian Authority in June...

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