No settlement in the North for at least five years

There will be no ‘settlement’ of the Northern Ireland problem for at least another five years.

4th February, 2006

There will be no ‘settlement’ of the Northern Ireland problem for at least another five years.

No reinstatement of the institutions of the Good Friday Agreement, no agreement on policing, continuing involvement by paramilitaries in criminality and sporadic violence.

But in the long run it won’t matter, for the trajectory of events in the North was set more than 12 years ago. Ultimately, there will be an accommodation, if not communal reconciliation -...

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