In late March, the US yield curve inverted, meaning that longer-term interest rates are paying less than shorter-term ones.
An inverted yield curve signals that the probability of a US recession is increasing.
The New York Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) measure of a US recession over the forthcoming 12 months increased to 24.62 per cent, the highest level since the financial crisis. Indeed, each recession of the last 35 years has been preceded by an inverted...
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