Thursday August 13, 2020

Comment: A V-shaped recovery remains possible

Many classic short-term indicators suggest that the economic outlook need not be as bleak as many believe

7th July, 2020
The Covid-19 pandemic induced a sharp economic downturn but many signs point towards a rapid V-shaped recovery

Since March, I have been more open than other commentators to the possibility of a “V-shaped” recovery from the pandemic-induced downturn, although I have also consistently warned of structural challenges facing many economies in the decade ahead.

Wherever I have expressed this optimism, I have met with pushback, given the apparent depth and scale of the current crisis. Yet, as we move into July, many classic short-term leading and coincident indicators still point...

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