Polls didn’t get it ‘wrong again’: the use of the data is the issue

Comment: Nobody should have predicted a landslide result going by what the opinion polls were saying

Joe Biden and his running mate, Kamala Harris: predictions of a landslide win for the Democratic candidate were wide of the mark

Many have accused the pollsters of getting it “wrong again” in the US election. But is this really fair?

Pollsters were accused of “confidently” predicting a landslide, but few actually did so. Some poll predictions may not have been as accurate as expected and need to be questioned, but many have been pretty accurate in showing likely voter intention.

The bigger issue is perhaps how the polls have been interpreted and reported, what has been ...